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  • The Modeling Platform, Issue 10, November 2019
    Acceleration of benefit (non-zero-cost) 37% Long-term care 34% Acceleration of benefit (zero-cost) 32% ... Increasing the number of scenarios leads to a direct increase in modeling workloads (i.e., two scenarios ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Nov 2019
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge; Results-Oriented Solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: The Modeling Platform
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Modeling efficiency; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Scenario generation; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
  • Economic Scenario Generators, Part I: Motivation for Stochastic Modeling
    Economic Scenario Generators, Part I: Motivation for Stochastic Modeling This article is the ... Increasing the number of scenarios leads to a direct increase in modeling workloads (i.e., two scenarios ...

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    • Authors: Dean Kerr, Matthew Zhang, Rahat Jain
    • Date: Nov 2019
    • Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Strategic Insight and Integration; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: The Modeling Platform
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Scenario generation; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
  • Drawing Appropriate Statistical Inferences
    yet, if I'm doing the sort of testing where I only care about the 95th percentile, my odds go from 1/e ... going to work out with my sampling. If you only care about the 90th percentile, it's (1/e)^10, and the ...

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    • Authors: Douglas Robbins
    • Date: Sep 2003
    • Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
  • Beware stochastic model risk!
    Beware stochastic model risk! The article warns against treating the results of a stochastic ... calibration should be treated with just as much care and review as the underlying actuarial assumptions ...

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    • Authors: Stephen Strommen
    • Date: Sep 2019
    • Competency: Professional Values; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Risks & Rewards
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Scenario generation; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Simulation; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models